I am shocked — shocked! — to find a zoomer “AI investor” caught swimming naked at the first turn of the tide:
Aschenbrenner, who had no previous trading experience before starting the fund, worked for the FTX Future Fund, the philanthropic arm of Sam Bankman-Fried’s empire before it collapsed in late 2022. He later joined OpenAI’s “Superalignment” team before being fired over an alleged leak.
With such an illustrious pedigree, how could things have possibly gotten so wrong so quickly?
And in the unlikely case you were still wondering if there was an AI bubble, even FT called it.
Tuesday links, AI-bent
- Venkatesh Rao: Cognitive Farmsteading. From the man who came up with premium mediocre (2017), the cozyweb (2019), and the Internet of beefs (2020) here is another tone-setting phrase. He spent the better part of this decade working on sloptraptions (guess who his co-author is there) so I lost interest, but this article is fully Rao in every sense, even if his preferences in AI use — discussed in the article — are far, far removed from my own.
- Cory Doctorow: Discernment. Doctorow’s preferences, on the other hand, match mine to a T, spell checking and all (would a regular spellchecker note the missing greater-than sign in my Hugo notation?) What I don’t yet have is my very own on-device chatbot — have you seen the RAM prices these days? — but that is coming, with or without the bubble bursting.
- Debbie Millman: If You’re Over 40, You’re Ready to Use A.I. The thesis is in the title, and it is downright stupid. Persons over a certain age — 65? 75? I don’t know for sure and there are individual differences but it is in that ballpark — have no chatbot immunity or capacity for discernment (see above) and from my experience account for 95% of slop being unintentionally shared around the Internet.
- Lila Shroff for The Atlantic: America Is Headed Toward the Infinite Workweek. Headed towards or pushed?
In Silicon Valley, engineers assign their agents tasks to complete overnight, and then check the results even before their morning coffee. Some are staying up late: “The opportunity cost of going to sleep is too high,” the billionaire venture capitalist Marc Andreessen said on The Joe Rogan Experience last month. “If you go to sleep, you won’t be with your 20 AI coding agents.”
This Andreessen guy sounds like a grade-A asshole.
Cory Doctorow's dickover remedies
As described here:
- Use browsers not apps.
- Use Firefox or, if you are concerned about their recent turn, at least a Mozilla and not Chromium-based browser.
- Hit ctrl-alt-r for Reader mode (Cmd-alt-R on MacOS). [Note: Per Doctorow: Firefox tries to guess whether a given page should have a Reader Mode option based on its layout. This sometimes blocks Reader Mode on pages that badly need it. You can force Firefox to always allow you to try Reader Mode by going to “about:config” in your location bar, then searching for “reader.parse-on-load.force-enabled” and toggling it to “true”. If you switch to Reader Mode and the page breaks, you can switch back by hitting ctrl-alt-r again. ] Sometimes, reloading the page while in reader mode works.
- If reader mode doesn’t work, try the Kill Sticky bookmarklet. That’s the second line of defence.
- However, Kill Sticky requires you to hit the bookmarklet every time you are on the same web page. For a more permanent solution, try Adblock plus. With that extension on, right-clicking will show a “Block Element…” option to the context menu.
- If all of that fails, try the Remove Paywall website or browser extension.
Looks exhausting, no? We have come to the Red Queen’s Race stage of the Internet. And as a reminder, this is a dickover.
☕ High-altitude brewing and the agonal gasps of niche Internet
I thought my kettle was broken when it beeped at 95°C even though I had set it to boil but then I remembered that we are now mile-high and the water will boil at a lower temperature. I imagine this will cause even more headaches for our family’s baking recipes, but the most immediate concern is how this affects my preferred brewing method.
There is always tweaking to be done, but the gist is: get the water as hot as possible and compensate for lower temperatures by grinding slightly finer (one notch lower on my Baratza Virtuoso grinder) and steeping slightly longer (which is a natural extension of a finer grind but is important for those using an Aeropress or — shudder — a French press). Be prepared for dry air to mess with the bean freshness. Try not to expect too much of light roasts.
This is also more or less what Kagi’s LLM response gave me, [Note: Kagi, unlike free search engines, doesn’t shove half-baked LLM responses down your throat at any opportunity. Rather, it only provides an “AI” response if you end your query with a question mark, which is both simple and delightful. ] the explanation of the physics and chemistry behind it taking three paragraphs instead of three sentences. Which was fine! What was not fine were the actual search results: a depressing line-up of sloppy websites to which I shall not link but which go like this:
- homepourover.me
- letsbrew.net
- homebaristaguide.com
- highaltitudelife.com
Et cetera, et cetera.
Each article was a shockingly long (“Coffee Brewing At High Altitude Explained: What Matters, What Doesn’t”, Read time: 11 minutes) elaboration on the above three points broken up by AI-generated images of coffee setups precariously perched over various mountainous regions. Each homepage was a depressing array of overly glossy thumbnails atop headlines which promise a plethora of affiliate links: “Best Heat Guns for Perfect DIY Coffee Roasting at Home”, “Top Coffee Makers That Keep Every Office Buzzing”, “Master the Basics of Home Roasting: Equipment and Techniques Unveiled”, and so on and so forth for 166 pages, 10 articles on each page, none of them with a publication date because you and I both know they were made in one day, nay, one caffeinated, agentic late-night session.
Would it not be nice if there was an actual indie blog written by a hyper-obsessed coffee aficionado, a fellow high-altitude brewer, or a person really into something? You know, like the old days? If there still are, they are being crowded out by one-man shows who are really good at faking it, at least until you read the first few sentences and, if they’re lucky, click the first link.
Not to poo-pooh on the indie web! I am absolutely certain there are many a cracking post on it about coffee, maybe even some about brewing it at high altitudes. It is just so gosh darn difficult to find. For example, Kagi’s Small Web project — excellent at showing random posts from the indie web — cycled through the same five posts in its “Food” section, only one of which was about coffee (and quite good at that — I am now a subscriber). I would also assume that Kagi’s algorithm would prioritize it over the AI slop if there was indeed information that I needed there but no, link after link it was one sloppy website after another, with a few unanswered forum posts in between.
So maybe this post is now it?
Thursday links, quick hits
- Vinay Prasad: The Future of Medicine. Extrapolating the modern tendencies of removing humans from the equation, Prasad (unintentionally?) presents a bleak scenario indeed. For a reality check, here is Cory Doctorow.
- The anonymous Slime Mold Time Mold author: You Can Discover the Drives. An interesting analogy between human drives — from the basics like thirst and hunger to the more complex ones like the need for recognition — and chemical elements.
- Chris Good: Not your keys, not your songs. Remember web3, which tried to be the asbestos we are putting into our technology until “AI” came along? Here is the aftermath of some well-meaning people trying to dabble in it. It did not end well.
- Brett & Kate McKay: How to Recognize and Deal With High-Conflict People. Recognition is important; dealing with them is usually straightforward: flee. And for the times that you can’t — these people need doctors too! — there is some good advice at the bottom.
After 16 years of successfully avoiding Epic*, tomorrow is the day: my provider** training begins. Let’s see how it compares to Cerner, Allscripts et al.
- Fairly certain text behind the link is partially AI-generated, but the illustrations are good!
** Hate hate hate that term.
Every dickover is infuriating, but the worst ones by far are on the websites I’m already paying to access. Go to hell, Gray Lady; what you’re selling doesn’t need an app.
Monday links, callback edition
- Keller, Murray, Ivory & Cabreros for The NYT: The Deadly Rise of Giant Trucks and S.U.V.s. A beautifully-illustrated case for America’s king-sized vehicles being the main culprit for increased pedestrian deaths. The careful reader will remember that this “Big SUV hypothesis” was also highlighted by Brian Potter a while back, though it didn’t explain all of the increase. And of course my conspiracy theory may also be true, although if there are people who said a while back “hey, these big A-pillar will lead to more pedestrian deaths” and then there are more pedestrian deaths, well, there’s a conspiracy theory for you.
- Adam Cifu: Advice for Internship. July already? Seems like my last day of residency was but a few years ago, but now, it’s been a full dozen years as of today. And I’ve given up sharing tips almost as long ago.
- Casey Handmer: In Defense of the Marginal Baby. Handmer presents the case for having more babies, with which I agree wholeheartedly. I do not share his enthusiasm for a contraption some call a “Snoo”, a preposterous subscription-based baby rocker.
- Charlie Stross: The Golden Age Of (sic!) Bond Villains. Stross shares the afterword for a reprint of his book The Jennifer Morgue, which is about a billionaire who wants to unleash a Lovecraftian horror in order to rule the world. It was written in 2009 and yes, some idiot billionaire — probably one from the Dialog crowd — must have confused it for an instruction manual. Anyway, Stross’ “Interview with the Entrepreneur”, the entrepreneur in question being Bond arch-nemesis Ernst Stavro Blofeld, is a thing of beauty.
- Ian Finder: UHF X11. A beautifully pixelated window system built for visionOS and Apple Vision Pro. Due to my newfound aversion to Apple I haven’t touched my own AVP in almost a year. This has persuaded me to pick it up again, for the novelty if nothing else.
Wednesday links, science, medicine and pop psychology
- Sasha Gusev: Thoughts on AI in academia. They are good ones. Extra points for leading me to an article from Sam Kriss in Harper’s Magazine about some magnificently
agenticstupid people spending away their youth in San Francisco. - Ruxandra Teslo: Manufacturing requirements are killing cell and gene therapy. The FDA wants companies to make at least two batches of product at the highest standard of manufacturing before approving it for commercial use. You should know this before starting your clinical program, especially if you have manufacturing that’s expensive, so maybe make two small batches instead of a big one? Just a thought. Separately, none of this would be an issue if there was momentum towards considering cell & gene therapy more of a blood bank/cell processing thing than a commercial drug. But then you couldn’t charge as much, could you?
- Regan Penaluna for Nautilus: Lessons in Chemistry, 19th-Century Style. Frustratingly, it takes Penaluna four paragraphs to mention the full name of Jane Marcet, the woman whose book “Conversations on Chemistry” inspired Michael Faraday — first paragraph mention! — to pursue science. The headline is also too broad: this was 1806, pre-Victorian times and barely 19th century. An extraordinary woman. Also: I want that book.
- Kristen French, also for Nautilus: Solving Feynman’s Formula for Eating Well, Parking Your Car, and Finding a Mate. How Feynman’s scribbles in a Thai restaurant lead to a paper in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, with mathematical proof of a common-sense inkling: more possible choices and more time should lead to more experimentation in order to discover “the best” of anything.
- Adam Mastroianni: Stop eating Lady Gaga’s Oreos. One of Mastroianni’s best, hinged on one key insight: Americans used to see themselves as temporarily embarrassed millionaires. High fortune now being so out of reach for many that it is simply unimaginable, they now see themselves as temporarily anonymous celebrities instead, which is why we have become more tolerant of celebrities hawking Oreos and less tolerant of billionaires. Also, good confirmation that I did not imagine the period when artists were trying very hard not to be labeled as sellouts.
Perusing Sequoia Capital's healthcare company database, a word comes to mind
Repugnant.
Abby Care — the listing is alphabetical so it sits at the top — “empowers families to deliver exceptional care”. More specifically, it “trains family members to become paid caregivers for loved ones with disabilities or special needs” and “provides training and community support to deliver better care at lower cost”.
Mysteriously, it also brags about accepting major health insurance providers. Piecing together the fluffy prose on their website and their simple 3-step process [Note: Step 1: Get certified with Abby Care through no-cost training. Step 2: Begin care enrollment (with Abby care support for employment, payroll and administrative coordination… Wait, payroll?) Step 3: Deliver quality care. ] it seems that Abby Care wants to be the Uber of home health aid for people who have a family member in need. The proposition is that, since you are already doing all these things for your loved one, you may as well train to do it even better (great!) but also bill your loved one’s medical insurance for it for the “care” you “deliver” (wait, what?) and let Abby Care take a cut (ick!)
The website is also full of community, whether it’s “family-to-family connection and support”, “navigation of community programs and resources” or a statement that “Abby Care brings families together through shared experiences, practical support, and ongoing connection”. Yes yes, you can make this abomination into a community in the same way you can run dirty tap water through reverse osmosis and add back electrolytes to make it taste like a crisp mountain spring. But only one of those comes free, conditional on 1) it existing and 2) you getting to it; RO is significantly easier to obtain provided you have the electricity to run the machine, money for regularly replacing the remineralization filter, and tolerance for wasting four gallons of water for every one you drink.
Mr. Market has a knack for finding an inherently good thing people do out of altruism, sense of obligation or sheer humanity, then putting a price tag on it, taxing it and adding on a 15% service fee to boot — just look at what happened to Airbnb. The only reason some galaxy-level brain at Sequoia isn’t funding a child care scheme similar to Abby Care is that there is no equivalent in health insurance for the care of children. Otherwise I have no doubt that there would be a platform — it is always a platform — for parents to take care of each other’s progeny in return for some meager returns which the platform owners will garnish, laughing all the way to the Silicon Valley Bank.
The monetization of everyday interactions is not new — it first became salient to me after reading the 2019 book Capitalism, Alone by Branko Milanović, which the Wall Street Journal described as “an implausibly dystopian vision of global capitalism’s future.” I am sure the finance whizzes at the WSJ would not find this entire thing repugnant, but I truly wonder about the prevailing opinion among everyone else.