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Thursday links, statistics and decay
Nassim Taleb: The introduction to my paper on data hacking, particularly p-hacking. “The implication is that the conventional p < 0.05 threshold is grossly insufficient; one must demand orders of magnitude stricter cutoffs or radically reframe inference procedures to achieve robustness.” Most of the rest of the pre-print is way over my head, but there are a few highlights for the non-mathematicians.
Kagi Blog: Introducing Kagi News. One daily update, well-sourced, beautiful reading experience online and in the app, has an RSS feed. What’s not to love? (ᔥJeremy)
Scott Sumner: Subjective time. On the consequences of time passing by more quickly as we age. You may not want to live to one thousand!
George Packer: America’s Zombie Democracy. I have enjoyed Packer’s righting ever sine he got Richard Holbrooke’s story exactly right and he doesn’t disappoint here either. There is, of course, a straight line running through the people Packer covered — and was friends with — and the country’s current zombified state. (ᔥTipsy Teetotaler)
Aidan Walker: memory is a contest. History both is and isn’t what it used to be, in that the digital age has started a reversion of history to premodern times, relying on a battle of narratives more than the written record. Or has it always been a battle?